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Red88
413140.6
568311.4
292812.2
Blue161
198331.4
299030.6
903647.6
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9012105015020025030035040088161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+85
Endgame+73
Fouls+73
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave9
2Coral scored#1
12Coral points6
12Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +82
13Coral scored#21
48Coral points74
1Processor algae#5
2Net algae#10
6Processor points30
8Net points40
14Algae points70
62Total teleop144
Reef
6L4#8
4L3#8
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#37
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +73
0Foul points0
88Total score161

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4131
#10
40.60.4
42.642.1
Auto6.4
Teleop26.6
End7.7
blue by 7.0
9036
#24
47.63.2
41.044.2
Auto4.2
Teleop42.4
End1.0
Second
2928
#35
12.20.4
13.913.5
Auto0.5
Teleop11.3
End0.4
blue by 19.2
1983
#27
31.43.2
27.931.1
Auto4.4
Teleop27.0
End0.0
Third
5683
#33
11.40.4
17.316.9
Auto3.0
Teleop7.5
End0.9
blue by 19.2
2990
#21
30.63.2
25.528.7
Auto5.7
Teleop22.0
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned64%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsEarned21%Barge oddsMissed