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Red75
368137.7
94834.0
297618.2
Blue106
129413.2
491144.3
321845.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12410205015020025030075106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+47
Endgame+35
Fouls+31
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave9
3Coral scored#3
16Coral points14
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +40
9Coral scored#16
33Coral points59
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
0Processor points6
4Net points12
4Algae points18
37Total teleop77
Reef
3L4#8
5L3#6
3L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#23
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +31
6Foul points2
75Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3681
#13
37.72.5
39.837.3
Auto7.2
Teleop22.7
End7.8
blue by 7.6
3218
#18
45.30.6
51.952.5
Auto12.0
Teleop30.6
End2.7
Second
948
#26
34.02.5
39.937.4
Auto8.1
Teleop23.3
End2.5
blue by 10.3
4911
#11
44.30.6
32.633.2
Auto5.0
Teleop36.9
End2.4
Third
2976
#36
18.22.5
27.024.5
Auto3.3
Teleop14.1
End0.8
red by 5.0
1294
#34
13.20.6
10.210.9
Auto5.0
Teleop5.7
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
29%Coral oddsMissed19%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
77%Barge oddsEarned22%Barge oddsMissed