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Red150
639033.6
49257.2
408937.8
Blue170
255744.5
177863.2
241257.5
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101225050150200250300350150170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+50
Endgame+40
Fouls+20
AutonomousBlue +17
0Leave3
5Coral scored#7
23Coral points37
23Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +33
21Coral scored#26
75Coral points92
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#4
6Processor points18
12Net points16
18Algae points34
93Total teleop126
Reef
7L4#11
6L3#13
7L2#5
6L1 · trough#4
30Game pieces#40
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
20Foul points0
150Total score170

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
492
#16
57.20.9
41.342.3
Auto8.8
Teleop39.4
End9.1
blue by 6.1
1778
#19
63.21.9
82.380.4
Auto12.8
Teleop50.8
End-0.4
Second
4089
#30
37.80.9
35.436.4
Auto6.9
Teleop29.7
End1.2
blue by 19.7
57.51.9
56.154.1
Auto12.9
Teleop34.6
End10.1
Third
6390
#22
33.60.9
28.329.2
Auto8.3
Teleop24.8
End0.4
blue by 10.9
44.51.9
48.947.0
Auto6.6
Teleop32.6
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
28%Coral oddsMissed92%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
46%Barge oddsEarned56%Barge oddsMissed