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Red166
131850.0
291098.5
252246.6
Blue240
366377.3
307042.1
945076.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2411950100300400166240

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+68
Endgame+88
Fouls+74
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave3
11Coral scored#10
54Coral points48
54Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +71
21Coral scored#25
76Coral points91
1Processor algae#7
3Net algae#8
6Processor points42
12Net points32
18Algae points74
94Total teleop165
Reef
14L4#12
6L3#13
5L2#7
7L1 · trough#3
36Game pieces#50
BargeBlue +20
4Cage & park24
4Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +74
14Foul points0
166Total score240

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
98.55.8
96.991.2
Auto27.9
Teleop61.9
End8.8
red by 21.3
77.32.4
71.573.9
Auto17.4
Teleop49.2
End10.7
Second
50.05.8
60.454.6
Auto13.8
Teleop31.9
End4.3
blue by 26.9
76.92.4
70.472.8
Auto15.0
Teleop52.2
End9.8
Third
2522
#23
46.65.8
59.753.9
Auto13.7
Teleop27.9
End4.9
red by 4.5
3070
#17
42.12.4
38.440.9
Auto8.1
Teleop31.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
99%Coral oddsEarned75%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned95%Barge oddsEarned