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Red164
212262.9
762730.5
593750.9
Blue122
198331.4
413140.6
999914.4
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions195106050150250300164122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+36Teleop
+36Endgame
+42Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave3
3Coral scored#3
17Coral points13
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +29
19Coral scored#16
69Coral points56
5Processor algae#3
5Net algae#4
30Processor points18
20Net points16
50Algae points34
119Total teleop90
Reef
10L4#7
6L3#6
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
32Game pieces#26
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +42
6Foul points0
164Total score122

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.91.4
57.856.4
Auto16.0
Teleop36.7
End10.2
red by 22.3
4131
#10
40.60.5
42.142.7
Auto6.4
Teleop26.6
End7.7
Second
5937
#12
50.91.4
55.654.2
Auto3.1
Teleop39.4
End8.5
red by 19.5
1983
#27
31.40.5
31.131.6
Auto4.4
Teleop27.0
End0.0
Third
7627
#29
30.51.4
41.440.0
Auto7.8
Teleop21.9
End0.9
red by 16.2
9999
#25
14.40.9
14.915.8
Auto2.6
Teleop9.0
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
33%Coral oddsEarned10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned25%Barge oddsEarned