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Red174
902372.1
408937.8
1007928.8
Blue132
413140.6
189916.8
307042.1
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions187123050100150250300174132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+50Teleop
+42Endgame
+42Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave9
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points17
23Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +53
20Coral scored#18
73Coral points64
4Processor algae#2
12Net algae#4
24Processor points12
48Net points16
72Algae points28
145Total teleop92
Reef
11L4#9
7L3#3
4L2#6
2L1 · trough#3
40Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +42
0Foul points0
174Total score132

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.10.3
71.571.8
Auto13.2
Teleop56.8
End2.2
red by 30.0
3070
#17
42.10.4
40.941.3
Auto8.1
Teleop31.4
End2.7
Second
4089
#30
37.80.3
36.436.6
Auto6.9
Teleop29.7
End1.2
blue by 2.8
4131
#10
40.60.4
41.742.2
Auto6.4
Teleop26.6
End7.7
Third
28.80.3
42.943.2
Auto8.8
Teleop18.0
End2.0
red by 12.0
1899
#37
16.80.4
22.523.0
Auto4.6
Teleop12.0
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
86%Coral oddsEarned23%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
67%Barge oddsMissed52%Barge oddsEarned