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Red137
292812.2
368137.7
321845.3
Blue175
252246.6
49257.2
212262.9
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions104182050150200250300350137175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+28
Endgame+40
Fouls+38
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave3
6Coral scored#5
30Coral points23
30Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +32
16Coral scored#25
59Coral points91
3Processor algae#3
6Net algae#6
18Processor points18
24Net points24
42Algae points42
101Total teleop133
Reef
8L4#12
7L3#8
5L2#3
2L1 · trough#7
31Game pieces#39
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +38
2Foul points0
137Total score175

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3218
#18
45.31.7
54.255.9
Auto12.0
Teleop30.6
End2.7
blue by 17.7
62.90.7
58.158.9
Auto16.0
Teleop36.7
End10.2
Second
3681
#13
37.71.7
33.835.5
Auto7.2
Teleop22.7
End7.8
blue by 19.5
492
#16
57.20.7
41.241.9
Auto8.8
Teleop39.4
End9.1
Third
2928
#35
12.21.7
12.914.6
Auto0.5
Teleop11.3
End0.4
blue by 34.4
2522
#23
46.60.7
53.354.1
Auto13.7
Teleop27.9
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
15%Coral oddsEarned75%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
57%Barge oddsMissed94%Barge oddsEarned