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Red134
762730.5
491144.3
94834.0
Blue138
299030.6
997326.2
945076.9
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12012580100140160180134138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+18Teleop
Endgame+4
Fouls+4
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave0
6Coral scored#5
30Coral points23
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +11
17Coral scored#21
60Coral points77
3Processor algae#1
6Net algae#2
18Processor points6
24Net points8
42Algae points14
102Total teleop91
Reef
10L4#7
5L3#8
5L2#6
3L1 · trough#5
32Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +22
2Cage & park24
2Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
0Foul points0
134Total score138

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4911
#11
44.31.4
34.535.9
Auto5.0
Teleop36.9
End2.4
blue by 32.7
76.91.6
72.974.5
Auto15.0
Teleop52.2
End9.8
Second
948
#26
34.01.4
36.337.7
Auto8.1
Teleop23.3
End2.5
red by 3.3
2990
#21
30.61.6
27.629.2
Auto5.7
Teleop22.0
End3.0
Third
7627
#29
30.51.4
39.140.5
Auto7.8
Teleop21.9
End0.9
red by 4.4
9973
#14
26.22.6
11.113.7
Auto3.2
Teleop15.8
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned67%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
28%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsMissed77%Barge oddsEarned