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Red146
307042.1
292812.2
593750.9
Blue169
413140.6
999840.4
36059.9
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1381280100200300400500146169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+20
Teleop+13
Endgame+23
Fouls+23
AutonomousBlue +20
3Leave6
1Coral scored#4
3Coral points20
6Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +7
27Coral scored#26
96Coral points93
2Processor algae#2
7Net algae#6
12Processor points12
28Net points24
40Algae points36
136Total teleop129
Reef
10L4#8
9L3#12
4L2#7
5L1 · trough#3
37Game pieces#38
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
0Foul points0
146Total score169

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5937
#12
50.90.6
58.158.7
Auto3.1
Teleop39.4
End8.5
blue by 9.0
360
#3
59.92.1
53.555.6
Auto11.3
Teleop45.3
End3.4
Second
3070
#17
42.10.6
37.337.9
Auto8.1
Teleop31.4
End2.7
red by 1.5
4131
#10
40.62.1
41.543.6
Auto6.4
Teleop26.6
End7.7
Third
2928
#35
12.20.6
17.718.2
Auto0.5
Teleop11.3
End0.4
blue by 28.3
9998
#20
40.43.5
15.919.4
Auto8.6
Teleop30.1
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsMissed83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
17%Coral oddsEarned8%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed40%Barge oddsEarned