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Red172
291098.5
366377.3
568311.4
Blue111
255744.5
997326.2
762730.5
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24390050150200300350172111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+49Teleop
+61Endgame
+61Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
9Leave6
6Coral scored#3
28Coral points13
37Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +31
20Coral scored#16
73Coral points56
2Processor algae#1
6Net algae#4
12Processor points6
24Net points16
36Algae points22
109Total teleop78
Reef
9L4#5
6L3#7
6L2#3
5L1 · trough#4
34Game pieces#24
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +61
0Foul points0
172Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
98.52.6
99.997.3
Auto27.9
Teleop61.9
End8.8
red by 54.1
44.50.8
54.753.8
Auto6.6
Teleop32.6
End5.2
Second
77.32.6
78.976.4
Auto17.4
Teleop49.2
End10.7
red by 46.7
7627
#29
30.50.8
41.841.0
Auto7.8
Teleop21.9
End0.9
Third
5683
#33
11.42.6
20.417.8
Auto3.0
Teleop7.5
End0.9
blue by 14.7
9973
#14
26.21.4
15.814.4
Auto3.2
Teleop15.8
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
95%Coral oddsEarned11%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
94%Barge oddsEarned38%Barge oddsEarned