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Red76
746118.9
198331.4
49257.2
Blue121
131850.0
368137.7
293058.2
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10121605015020025030076121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+39
Endgame+41
Fouls+45
AutonomousBlue +21
0Leave9
3Coral scored#6
16Coral points28
16Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +18
11Coral scored#14
40Coral points52
2Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
12Processor points6
4Net points16
16Algae points22
56Total teleop74
Reef
6L4#8
3L3#5
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#4
17Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +45
0Foul points4
76Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
492
#16
57.22.2
52.250.0
Auto8.8
Teleop39.4
End9.1
blue by 1.1
2930
#15
58.25.1
80.575.4
Auto18.1
Teleop33.2
End6.9
Second
1983
#27
31.42.2
31.729.5
Auto4.4
Teleop27.0
End0.0
blue by 18.6
50.05.1
68.663.5
Auto13.8
Teleop31.9
End4.3
Third
7461
#28
18.92.2
25.223.0
Auto4.8
Teleop14.0
End0.1
blue by 18.7
3681
#13
37.75.1
44.939.8
Auto7.2
Teleop22.7
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
24%Coral oddsMissed83%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed99%Barge oddsMissed