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Red134
902372.1
593750.9
189916.8
Blue157
198331.4
255744.5
491144.3
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18012050100150200250300134157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+9
Endgame+11
Fouls+23
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave6
3Coral scored#3
14Coral points13
23Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +13
18Coral scored#18
65Coral points66
2Processor algae#4
5Net algae#5
12Processor points24
20Net points20
32Algae points44
97Total teleop110
Reef
8L4#7
6L3#5
5L2#6
2L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
0Foul points12
134Total score157

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.11.9
72.070.1
Auto13.2
Teleop56.8
End2.2
red by 27.7
44.51.3
46.147.5
Auto6.6
Teleop32.6
End5.2
Second
5937
#12
50.91.9
57.655.6
Auto3.1
Teleop39.4
End8.5
red by 6.7
4911
#11
44.31.3
35.937.2
Auto5.0
Teleop36.9
End2.4
Third
1899
#37
16.81.9
22.220.2
Auto4.6
Teleop12.0
End0.3
blue by 14.6
1983
#27
31.41.3
31.633.0
Auto4.4
Teleop27.0
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned72%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
80%Coral oddsMissed19%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
61%Barge oddsEarned13%Barge oddsEarned