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Red170
49257.2
366377.3
999840.4
Blue134
307042.1
999914.4
903647.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions157118050100200250170134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+12Teleop
+36Endgame
+36Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave6
6Coral scored#4
30Coral points20
33Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +5
16Coral scored#19
59Coral points68
5Processor algae#2
6Net algae#7
30Processor points12
24Net points28
54Algae points40
113Total teleop108
Reef
10L4#9
6L3#5
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#5
33Game pieces#32
BargeRed +24
24Cage & park0
24Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +36
0Foul points0
170Total score134

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
77.31.4
74.375.7
Auto17.4
Teleop49.2
End10.7
red by 29.6
9036
#24
47.62.2
45.948.2
Auto4.2
Teleop42.4
End1.0
Second
492
#16
57.21.4
41.943.4
Auto8.8
Teleop39.4
End9.1
red by 15.0
3070
#17
42.12.2
41.243.5
Auto8.1
Teleop31.4
End2.7
Third
9998
#20
40.42.4
26.428.8
Auto8.6
Teleop30.1
End1.4
red by 26.1
9999
#25
14.43.7
8.011.7
Auto2.6
Teleop9.0
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned64%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
27%Coral oddsEarned36%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
82%Barge oddsEarned30%Barge oddsMissed