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Red114
491144.3
413140.6
299030.6
Blue186
366377.3
36059.9
241257.5
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12323450100150200250300114186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+5
Teleop+54
Endgame+72
Fouls+72
AutonomousBlue +5
0Leave9
4Coral scored#3
18Coral points14
18Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +49
21Coral scored#26
76Coral points93
1Processor algae#5
2Net algae#4
6Processor points30
8Net points16
14Algae points46
90Total teleop139
Reef
7L4#10
9L3#9
4L2#6
5L1 · trough#4
28Game pieces#38
BargeBlue +18
6Cage & park24
6Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +72
0Foul points0
114Total score186

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4911
#11
44.30.8
37.236.4
Auto5.0
Teleop36.9
End2.4
blue by 33.0
77.31.1
75.774.6
Auto17.4
Teleop49.2
End10.7
Second
4131
#10
40.60.8
41.841.1
Auto6.4
Teleop26.6
End7.7
blue by 19.3
360
#3
59.91.1
59.057.8
Auto11.3
Teleop45.3
End3.4
Third
2990
#21
30.60.8
29.228.4
Auto5.7
Teleop22.0
End3.0
blue by 26.9
57.51.1
51.650.5
Auto12.9
Teleop34.6
End10.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed83%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
44%Barge oddsMissed89%Barge oddsEarned