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Red137
177863.2
762730.5
903647.6
Blue106
94834.0
94911.4
999840.4
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions199510100150250300137106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+39Teleop
+35Endgame
+31Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave6
5Coral scored#2
26Coral points10
26Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +29
18Coral scored#16
63Coral points58
4Processor algae#2
6Net algae#3
24Processor points12
24Net points12
48Algae points24
111Total teleop82
Reef
9L4#7
5L3#5
4L2#4
5L1 · trough#2
33Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +4
0Cage & park4
0Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +31
0Foul points4
137Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1778
#19
63.22.3
79.577.2
Auto12.8
Teleop50.8
End-0.4
red by 22.8
9998
#20
40.42.5
28.831.2
Auto8.6
Teleop30.1
End1.4
Second
9036
#24
47.62.3
48.245.9
Auto4.2
Teleop42.4
End1.0
red by 13.6
948
#26
34.01.6
37.138.7
Auto8.1
Teleop23.3
End2.5
Third
7627
#29
30.52.3
37.335.0
Auto7.8
Teleop21.9
End0.9
red by 19.1
949
#32
11.41.6
7.08.6
Auto2.0
Teleop8.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
91%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsMissed