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Red76
255744.5
297618.2
292812.2
Blue135
902372.1
639033.6
746118.9
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8014805010020076135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+49
Endgame+49
Fouls+59
AutonomousBlue +11
9Leave6
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points14
9Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +38
13Coral scored#16
47Coral points59
1Processor algae#4
3Net algae#5
6Processor points24
12Net points20
18Algae points44
65Total teleop103
Reef
4L4#8
5L3#4
3L2#5
1L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#28
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +59
0Foul points10
76Total score135

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.50.9
45.945.0
Auto6.6
Teleop32.6
End5.2
blue by 27.7
72.10.5
69.769.2
Auto13.2
Teleop56.8
End2.2
Second
2976
#36
18.20.9
21.620.6
Auto3.3
Teleop14.1
End0.8
blue by 15.4
6390
#22
33.60.5
28.027.5
Auto8.3
Teleop24.8
End0.4
Third
2928
#35
12.20.9
11.510.5
Auto0.5
Teleop11.3
End0.4
blue by 6.8
7461
#28
18.90.5
23.623.1
Auto4.8
Teleop14.0
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsMissed92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed53%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed