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Red106
366377.3
129413.2
999914.4
Blue139
593750.9
36059.9
198331.4
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12717350100150200106139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+33
Endgame+33
Fouls+33
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave0
4Coral scored#5
21Coral points23
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +40
12Coral scored#23
44Coral points84
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
62Total teleop102
Reef
5L4#11
4L3#9
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#5
20Game pieces#32
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +33
0Foul points0
106Total score139

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
77.30.3
74.674.4
Auto17.4
Teleop49.2
End10.7
red by 17.3
360
#3
59.91.0
57.856.8
Auto11.3
Teleop45.3
End3.4
Second
9999
#25
14.40.4
9.59.1
Auto2.6
Teleop9.0
End2.5
blue by 36.6
5937
#12
50.91.0
52.851.8
Auto3.1
Teleop39.4
End8.5
Third
1294
#34
13.20.3
14.714.4
Auto5.0
Teleop5.7
End2.5
blue by 18.2
1983
#27
31.41.0
32.631.5
Auto4.4
Teleop27.0
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
27%Coral oddsMissed36%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
81%Barge oddsEarned59%Barge oddsEarned