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Red175
212262.9
177863.2
413140.6
Blue155
49257.2
1007928.8
491144.3
97%Model gave it3%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions227132050100150200250300175155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+20Teleop
+20Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave0
5Coral scored#4
23Coral points19
26Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +13
28Coral scored#26
99Coral points94
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#4
12Processor points12
24Net points16
36Algae points28
135Total teleop122
Reef
10L4#7
9L3#11
8L2#6
6L1 · trough#6
41Game pieces#36
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +20
0Foul points0
175Total score155

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1778
#19
63.21.4
77.275.9
Auto12.8
Teleop50.8
End-0.4
red by 6.1
492
#16
57.21.4
47.048.4
Auto8.8
Teleop39.4
End9.1
Second
62.91.4
59.257.8
Auto16.0
Teleop36.7
End10.2
red by 18.7
4911
#11
44.31.4
36.437.9
Auto5.0
Teleop36.9
End2.4
Third
4131
#10
40.61.4
41.139.7
Auto6.4
Teleop26.6
End7.7
red by 11.8
28.81.4
35.536.9
Auto8.8
Teleop18.0
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
91%Coral oddsMissed28%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
87%Barge oddsEarned34%Barge oddsEarned