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Red122
129413.2
902372.1
997326.2
Blue103
999840.4
568311.4
212262.9
53%Model gave it47%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions115105050150200250300350122103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+7Teleop
+19Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
3Leave6
5Coral scored#2
23Coral points11
26Total auto17
TeleoperatedBlue +2
18Coral scored#13
64Coral points46
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#5
6Processor points18
12Net points20
18Algae points38
82Total teleop84
Reef
7L4#3
4L3#5
7L2#4
5L1 · trough#3
27Game pieces#23
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
0Foul points0
122Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.10.3
69.269.5
Auto13.2
Teleop56.8
End2.2
red by 9.2
62.90.8
57.857.0
Auto16.0
Teleop36.7
End10.2
Second
9973
#14
26.20.4
22.623.0
Auto3.2
Teleop15.8
End6.9
blue by 14.3
9998
#20
40.41.1
35.534.4
Auto8.6
Teleop30.1
End1.4
Third
1294
#34
13.20.3
14.414.7
Auto5.0
Teleop5.7
End2.5
red by 1.8
5683
#33
11.40.8
16.115.3
Auto3.0
Teleop7.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
46%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
49%Barge oddsEarned71%Barge oddsMissed