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Red104
746118.9
413140.6
1007928.8
Blue124
292812.2
945076.9
999914.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions126134050100200250300350400104124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+8
Endgame+8
Fouls+20
AutonomousBlue +1
6Leave9
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points7
15Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +7
14Coral scored#14
49Coral points52
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
12Processor points12
8Net points12
20Algae points24
69Total teleop76
Reef
7L4#4
4L3#4
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#20
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
6Foul points18
104Total score124

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4131
#10
40.61.1
39.738.6
Auto6.4
Teleop26.6
End7.7
blue by 36.3
76.90.2
69.269.5
Auto15.0
Teleop52.2
End9.8
Second
28.81.1
36.935.8
Auto8.8
Teleop18.0
End2.0
red by 14.4
9999
#25
14.40.3
9.19.4
Auto2.6
Teleop9.0
End2.5
Third
7461
#28
18.91.1
23.122.0
Auto4.8
Teleop14.0
End0.1
red by 6.8
2928
#35
12.20.2
10.510.7
Auto0.5
Teleop11.3
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
17%Coral oddsMissed18%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
57%Barge oddsEarned51%Barge oddsEarned