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Red155
903647.6
408937.8
593750.9
Blue163
299030.6
366377.3
368137.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions151155050100200250300155163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
0Teleop0
Endgame+8
Fouls+8
AutonomousBlue +21
9Leave9
1Coral scored#6
7Coral points28
16Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +21
26Coral scored#16
93Coral points56
3Processor algae#3
3Net algae#7
18Processor points18
12Net points28
30Algae points46
123Total teleop102
Reef
11L4#10
9L3#5
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
33Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
0Foul points0
155Total score163

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5937
#12
50.90.6
51.852.4
Auto3.1
Teleop39.4
End8.5
blue by 26.3
77.31.1
74.475.5
Auto17.4
Teleop49.2
End10.7
Second
9036
#24
47.60.6
45.946.5
Auto4.2
Teleop42.4
End1.0
red by 9.9
3681
#13
37.71.1
32.333.4
Auto7.2
Teleop22.7
End7.8
Third
4089
#30
37.80.6
37.337.9
Auto6.9
Teleop29.7
End1.2
red by 7.1
2990
#21
30.61.1
28.429.5
Auto5.7
Teleop22.0
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsMissed89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
55%Coral oddsMissed22%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
62%Barge oddsEarned89%Barge oddsEarned