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Red111
321845.3
293058.2
94834.0
Blue88
762730.5
307042.1
94911.4
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1798705015020025030011188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+17Teleop
+23Endgame
+23Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
0Leave0
7Coral scored#4
37Coral points19
37Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +1
14Coral scored#13
52Coral points45
2Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
12Processor points12
4Net points12
16Algae points24
68Total teleop69
Reef
5L4#6
7L3#5
6L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#22
BargeRed +6
6Cage & park0
6Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +23
0Foul points0
111Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2930
#15
58.22.5
56.854.4
Auto18.1
Teleop33.2
End6.9
red by 16.1
3070
#17
42.10.1
46.346.2
Auto8.1
Teleop31.4
End2.7
Second
3218
#18
45.32.5
52.650.1
Auto12.0
Teleop30.6
End2.7
red by 14.7
7627
#29
30.50.1
35.034.9
Auto7.8
Teleop21.9
End0.9
Third
948
#26
34.02.5
38.736.2
Auto8.1
Teleop23.3
End2.5
red by 22.6
949
#32
11.40.1
8.68.5
Auto2.0
Teleop8.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
77%Coral oddsEarned9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
75%Barge oddsMissed15%Barge oddsMissed