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Red135
177863.2
321845.3
307042.1
Blue147
903647.6
255744.5
131850.0
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions194167100150250135147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+10
0Endgame0
Fouls+12
Autonomouslevel
0Leave6
5Coral scored#4
26Coral points20
26Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +10
19Coral scored#17
67Coral points61
2Processor algae#4
4Net algae#5
12Processor points24
16Net points20
28Algae points44
95Total teleop105
Reef
8L4#6
9L3#7
4L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
30Game pieces#30
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
0Foul points12
135Total score147

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1778
#19
63.23.2
75.972.6
Auto12.8
Teleop50.8
End-0.4
red by 13.2
50.01.3
52.451.1
Auto13.8
Teleop31.9
End4.3
Second
3218
#18
45.33.2
50.146.9
Auto12.0
Teleop30.6
End2.7
blue by 2.3
9036
#24
47.61.3
46.545.1
Auto4.2
Teleop42.4
End1.0
Third
3070
#17
42.13.2
46.242.9
Auto8.1
Teleop31.4
End2.7
blue by 2.3
44.51.3
45.043.6
Auto6.6
Teleop32.6
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
94%Coral oddsMissed68%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
8%Barge oddsEarned78%Barge oddsEarned