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Red138
299030.6
36059.9
189916.8
Blue92
252246.6
762730.5
297618.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions123118608010014016013892

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+34Teleop
+34Endgame
+46Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
0Leave3
7Coral scored#4
36Coral points20
36Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +21
15Coral scored#11
54Coral points41
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
12Processor points12
20Net points12
32Algae points24
86Total teleop65
Reef
10L4#4
6L3#5
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
29Game pieces#20
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +46
12Foul points0
138Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
360
#3
59.90.8
56.857.6
Auto11.3
Teleop45.3
End3.4
red by 13.3
2522
#23
46.61.5
48.146.6
Auto13.7
Teleop27.9
End4.9
Second
2990
#21
30.60.8
29.530.3
Auto5.7
Teleop22.0
End3.0
red by 0.1
7627
#29
30.51.5
34.933.4
Auto7.8
Teleop21.9
End0.9
Third
1899
#37
16.80.8
16.116.9
Auto4.6
Teleop12.0
End0.3
blue by 1.4
2976
#36
18.21.5
20.619.1
Auto3.3
Teleop14.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsEarned39%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsMissed