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Red92
49257.2
94911.4
999914.4
Blue57
94834.0
408937.8
746118.9
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions801110501001509257

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+25Teleop
+35Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave3
1Coral scored#3
4Coral points13
13Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +28
11Coral scored#7
41Coral points25
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
6Processor points6
16Net points4
22Algae points10
63Total teleop35
Reef
5L4#3
3L3#2
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#12
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +35
0Foul points0
92Total score57

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
492
#16
57.21.7
48.450.1
Auto8.8
Teleop39.4
End9.1
red by 19.4
4089
#30
37.82.6
37.935.3
Auto6.9
Teleop29.7
End1.2
Second
9999
#25
14.42.1
9.411.5
Auto2.6
Teleop9.0
End2.5
blue by 19.6
948
#26
34.02.6
36.233.6
Auto8.1
Teleop23.3
End2.5
Third
949
#32
11.41.7
8.510.2
Auto2.0
Teleop8.5
End1.0
blue by 7.5
7461
#28
18.92.6
22.019.4
Auto4.8
Teleop14.0
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsMissed93%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed32%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsEarned40%Barge oddsMissed