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Red244
945076.9
902372.1
999840.4
Blue181
593750.9
366377.3
639033.6
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions183182160200220240244181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+61Teleop
+63Endgame
+63Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave6
7Coral scored#3
37Coral points17
37Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +47
35Coral scored#32
127Coral points114
6Processor algae#1
7Net algae#6
36Processor points6
28Net points24
64Algae points30
191Total teleop144
Reef
15L4#12
12L3#11
8L2#6
7L1 · trough#6
55Game pieces#42
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +63
0Foul points0
244Total score181

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.92.6
69.572.0
Auto15.0
Teleop52.2
End9.8
blue by 0.3
77.30.4
75.575.1
Auto17.4
Teleop49.2
End10.7
Second
72.12.6
69.572.0
Auto13.2
Teleop56.8
End2.2
red by 21.2
5937
#12
50.90.4
52.452.0
Auto3.1
Teleop39.4
End8.5
Third
9998
#20
40.43.1
34.437.5
Auto8.6
Teleop30.1
End1.4
red by 6.9
6390
#22
33.60.4
29.028.6
Auto8.3
Teleop24.8
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
77%Coral oddsEarned55%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
69%Barge oddsEarned90%Barge oddsEarned