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Red105
408937.8
198331.4
762730.5
Blue122
252246.6
903647.6
997326.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1081250200300400105122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+3
Endgame+17
Fouls+17
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave6
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points17
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +4
20Coral scored#17
73Coral points61
0Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
0Processor points12
16Net points12
16Algae points24
89Total teleop85
Reef
8L4#7
6L3#6
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +14
0Cage & park14
0Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +17
0Foul points0
105Total score122

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4089
#30
37.80.2
35.335.5
Auto6.9
Teleop29.7
End1.2
blue by 9.8
9036
#24
47.60.5
45.145.6
Auto4.2
Teleop42.4
End1.0
Second
1983
#27
31.40.2
33.033.2
Auto4.4
Teleop27.0
End0.0
blue by 15.2
2522
#23
46.60.5
46.647.1
Auto13.7
Teleop27.9
End4.9
Third
7627
#29
30.50.2
33.433.6
Auto7.8
Teleop21.9
End0.9
red by 4.4
9973
#14
26.20.6
23.023.6
Auto3.2
Teleop15.8
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned53%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed60%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed56%Barge oddsEarned