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Red154
491144.3
94911.4
36059.9
Blue159
368137.7
49257.2
255744.5
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions117142050100200250300154159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+17Teleop
Endgame+5
Fouls+5
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave6
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points13
23Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +13
29Coral scored#22
103Coral points80
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#4
12Processor points18
12Net points16
24Algae points34
127Total teleop114
Reef
13L4#10
9L3#7
6L2#6
5L1 · trough#2
38Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +5
0Foul points0
154Total score159

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
360
#3
59.91.7
57.659.3
Auto11.3
Teleop45.3
End3.4
red by 2.8
492
#16
57.20.9
50.151.0
Auto8.8
Teleop39.4
End9.1
Second
4911
#11
44.31.7
40.342.1
Auto5.0
Teleop36.9
End2.4
blue by 0.2
44.50.9
43.644.5
Auto6.6
Teleop32.6
End5.2
Third
949
#32
11.41.7
10.211.9
Auto2.0
Teleop8.5
End1.0
blue by 26.3
3681
#13
37.70.9
33.434.2
Auto7.2
Teleop22.7
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsEarned68%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsEarned31%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed91%Barge oddsEarned