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Red182
999914.4
299030.6
291098.5
Blue168
177863.2
902372.1
131850.0
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions181216100150200250300182168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+14Teleop
+26Endgame
+14Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave0
4Coral scored#6
21Coral points30
30Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +14
24Coral scored#26
86Coral points92
3Processor algae#3
8Net algae#3
18Processor points18
32Net points12
50Algae points30
136Total teleop122
Reef
11L4#14
9L3#9
3L2#5
5L1 · trough#4
39Game pieces#38
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
0Foul points12
182Total score168

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
98.52.5
95.397.9
Auto27.9
Teleop61.9
End8.8
red by 26.4
72.12.8
72.069.3
Auto13.2
Teleop56.8
End2.2
Second
2990
#21
30.62.5
28.130.6
Auto5.7
Teleop22.0
End3.0
blue by 32.6
1778
#19
63.22.8
67.464.7
Auto12.8
Teleop50.8
End-0.4
Third
9999
#25
14.42.8
11.514.4
Auto2.6
Teleop9.0
End2.5
blue by 35.6
50.02.8
50.147.3
Auto13.8
Teleop31.9
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
75%Coral oddsEarned99%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
82%Barge oddsEarned49%Barge oddsMissed