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Red202
36059.9
945076.9
639033.6
Blue94
321845.3
1007928.8
198331.4
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19712205010015025020294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+94Teleop
+108Endgame
+108Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave3
5Coral scored#3
27Coral points13
30Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +80
33Coral scored#13
118Coral points48
1Processor algae#2
8Net algae#4
6Processor points12
32Net points16
38Algae points28
156Total teleop76
Reef
20L4#7
9L3#4
5L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
47Game pieces#22
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +108
0Foul points0
202Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.92.1
72.074.1
Auto15.0
Teleop52.2
End9.8
red by 31.7
3218
#18
45.31.8
46.444.6
Auto12.0
Teleop30.6
End2.7
Second
360
#3
59.92.1
59.361.4
Auto11.3
Teleop45.3
End3.4
red by 28.5
1983
#27
31.41.8
33.231.4
Auto4.4
Teleop27.0
End0.0
Third
6390
#22
33.62.1
28.630.7
Auto8.3
Teleop24.8
End0.4
red by 4.8
28.81.8
30.628.8
Auto8.8
Teleop18.0
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
65%Coral oddsEarned28%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
74%Barge oddsEarned18%Barge oddsMissed