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Red86
297618.2
903647.6
94911.4
Blue153
593750.9
255744.5
94834.0
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7416705010015020025086153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+39
Endgame+49
Fouls+67
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave3
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points9
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +36
14Coral scored#20
49Coral points71
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
6Processor points12
12Net points20
18Algae points32
67Total teleop103
Reef
6L4#8
3L3#5
4L2#7
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +67
6Foul points24
86Total score153

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9036
#24
47.60.5
45.645.1
Auto4.2
Teleop42.4
End1.0
blue by 3.3
5937
#12
50.90.9
52.051.1
Auto3.1
Teleop39.4
End8.5
Second
2976
#36
18.20.5
18.718.2
Auto3.3
Teleop14.1
End0.8
blue by 26.3
44.50.9
44.543.6
Auto6.6
Teleop32.6
End5.2
Third
949
#32
11.40.5
11.911.4
Auto2.0
Teleop8.5
End1.0
blue by 22.6
948
#26
34.00.9
35.134.2
Auto8.1
Teleop23.3
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsMissed93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed55%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed92%Barge oddsEarned