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Red151
49257.2
292812.2
241257.5
Blue41
189916.8
568311.4
762730.5
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1326305010015020015141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+86Teleop
+108Endgame
+110Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave6
6Coral scored#1
30Coral points3
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +65
20Coral scored#7
73Coral points26
1Processor algae#0
4Net algae#1
6Processor points0
16Net points4
22Algae points4
95Total teleop30
Reef
9L4#2
6L3#3
5L2#2
6L1 · trough#1
31Game pieces#9
BargeRed +22
24Cage & park2
24Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +110
2Foul points0
151Total score41

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.52.5
51.353.8
Auto12.9
Teleop34.6
End10.1
red by 27.0
7627
#29
30.51.6
33.632.0
Auto7.8
Teleop21.9
End0.9
Second
492
#16
57.22.5
51.053.4
Auto8.8
Teleop39.4
End9.1
red by 40.4
1899
#37
16.81.6
18.416.8
Auto4.6
Teleop12.0
End0.3
Third
2928
#35
12.22.5
9.712.2
Auto0.5
Teleop11.3
End0.4
red by 0.7
5683
#33
11.41.6
13.011.4
Auto3.0
Teleop7.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
30%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
56%Barge oddsEarned16%Barge oddsMissed