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Red141
293058.2
307042.1
999840.4
Blue170
368137.7
491144.3
212262.9
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions131151050100200250141170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+21
Endgame+29
Fouls+29
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave0
6Coral scored#9
31Coral points44
37Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +14
14Coral scored#22
50Coral points80
1Processor algae#1
8Net algae#4
6Processor points6
32Net points16
38Algae points22
88Total teleop102
Reef
5L4#15
6L3#7
5L2#4
4L1 · trough#5
29Game pieces#36
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +29
0Foul points0
141Total score170

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2930
#15
58.20.4
57.057.4
Auto18.1
Teleop33.2
End6.9
blue by 4.7
62.92.4
58.160.5
Auto16.0
Teleop36.7
End10.2
Second
3070
#17
42.10.4
40.741.1
Auto8.1
Teleop31.4
End2.7
blue by 2.1
4911
#11
44.32.4
42.144.4
Auto5.0
Teleop36.9
End2.4
Third
9998
#20
40.40.4
37.538.0
Auto8.6
Teleop30.1
End1.4
red by 2.8
3681
#13
37.72.4
34.236.6
Auto7.2
Teleop22.7
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned67%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
31%Coral oddsMissed38%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
48%Barge oddsEarned86%Barge oddsEarned