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Red133
293058.2
255744.5
408937.8
Blue167
212262.9
903647.6
999840.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16314904006008001,000133167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
Teleop+34
Endgame+40
Fouls+34
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave0
7Coral scored#2
33Coral points12
33Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +55
18Coral scored#28
66Coral points99
1Processor algae#4
4Net algae#5
6Processor points24
16Net points20
22Algae points44
88Total teleop143
Reef
13L4#13
4L3#7
4L2#6
4L1 · trough#4
30Game pieces#39
BargeBlue +6
6Cage & park12
6Total endgame12
Penalties & totalBlue +34
6Foul points0
133Total score167

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2930
#15
58.20.3
58.658.2
Auto18.1
Teleop33.2
End6.9
blue by 4.7
62.90.4
61.762.2
Auto16.0
Teleop36.7
End10.2
Second
44.50.3
44.844.5
Auto6.6
Teleop32.6
End5.2
blue by 3.2
9036
#24
47.60.4
46.446.8
Auto4.2
Teleop42.4
End1.0
Third
4089
#30
37.80.3
38.137.8
Auto6.9
Teleop29.7
End1.2
blue by 2.6
9998
#20
40.40.4
39.239.7
Auto8.6
Teleop30.1
End1.4