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Red206
131850.0
49257.2
241257.5
Blue139
413140.6
368137.7
307042.1
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19313750100250300350206139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+22Auto
+65Teleop
+67Endgame
+67Fouls
AutonomousRed +22
6Leave3
9Coral scored#5
45Coral points26
51Total auto29
TeleoperatedRed +43
28Coral scored#19
99Coral points68
1Processor algae#1
6Net algae#3
6Processor points6
24Net points12
30Algae points18
129Total teleop86
Reef
12L4#9
9L3#6
9L2#5
7L1 · trough#4
44Game pieces#28
BargeRed +2
26Cage & park24
26Total endgame24
Penalties & totalRed +67
0Foul points0
206Total score139

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.50.9
55.356.1
Auto12.9
Teleop34.6
End10.1
red by 15.4
3070
#17
42.10.2
41.942.1
Auto8.1
Teleop31.4
End2.7
Second
492
#16
57.20.9
54.955.8
Auto8.8
Teleop39.4
End9.1
red by 16.5
4131
#10
40.60.2
40.440.6
Auto6.4
Teleop26.6
End7.7
Third
50.00.9
47.748.6
Auto13.8
Teleop31.9
End4.3
red by 12.3
3681
#13
37.70.2
37.437.7
Auto7.2
Teleop22.7
End7.8