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Red242
639033.6
945076.9
902372.1
Blue205
293058.2
255744.5
408937.8
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions207152100250300242205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+39Teleop
+37Endgame
+37Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave0
6Coral scored#8
28Coral points40
37Total auto40
TeleoperatedRed +42
40Coral scored#21
143Coral points77
2Processor algae#6
9Net algae#9
12Processor points36
36Net points36
48Algae points72
191Total teleop149
Reef
13L4#11
17L3#6
10L2#7
6L1 · trough#5
57Game pieces#44
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +37
0Foul points0
242Total score205

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.90.8
75.175.8
Auto15.0
Teleop52.2
End9.8
red by 18.7
2930
#15
58.20.9
57.758.6
Auto18.1
Teleop33.2
End6.9
Second
72.10.8
70.371.0
Auto13.2
Teleop56.8
End2.2
red by 27.7
44.50.9
43.944.8
Auto6.6
Teleop32.6
End5.2
Third
6390
#22
33.60.8
31.732.5
Auto8.3
Teleop24.8
End0.4
blue by 4.2
4089
#30
37.80.9
37.238.1
Auto6.9
Teleop29.7
End1.2