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Red238
291098.5
321845.3
366377.3
Blue198
997326.2
49257.2
241257.5
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25912750100150200300350238198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+60Teleop
+40Endgame
+40Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
0Leave9
12Coral scored#5
61Coral points24
61Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +32
33Coral scored#29
117Coral points103
4Processor algae#1
5Net algae#5
24Processor points6
20Net points20
44Algae points26
161Total teleop129
Reef
20L4#15
11L3#11
6L2#4
8L1 · trough#4
54Game pieces#40
BargeBlue +20
16Cage & park36
16Total endgame36
Penalties & totalRed +40
0Foul points0
238Total score198

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
98.50.0
98.598.6
Auto27.9
Teleop61.9
End8.8
red by 41.0
57.51.0
54.255.3
Auto12.9
Teleop34.6
End10.1
Second
77.30.0
77.277.3
Auto17.4
Teleop49.2
End10.7
red by 20.1
492
#16
57.21.0
53.854.9
Auto8.8
Teleop39.4
End9.1
Third
3218
#18
45.30.0
45.345.3
Auto12.0
Teleop30.6
End2.7
red by 19.1
9973
#14
26.21.0
25.126.2
Auto3.2
Teleop15.8
End6.9