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Red167
204667.6
944620.6
177878.9
Blue110
593737.5
491138.0
903637.7
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18410850150200250167110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+35Auto
+57Teleop
+59Endgame
+57Fouls
AutonomousRed +35
3Leave9
10Coral scored#1
48Coral points7
51Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +22
23Coral scored#12
82Coral points44
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#4
6Processor points18
12Net points16
18Algae points34
100Total teleop78
Reef
16L4#3
5L3#4
8L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
37Game pieces#20
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +57
0Foul points2
167Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.90.0
78.678.7
Auto19.1
Teleop58.3
End1.4
red by 41.0
4911
#16
38.00.0
36.836.7
Auto4.2
Teleop30.8
End3.0
Second
67.60.0
67.467.4
Auto14.8
Teleop47.1
End5.7
red by 29.9
9036
#15
37.70.0
36.636.5
Auto5.1
Teleop31.7
End1.0
Third
9446
#30
20.60.0
20.320.3
Auto3.6
Teleop14.4
End2.6
blue by 16.9
5937
#12
37.50.0
36.336.3
Auto3.5
Teleop28.6
End5.4