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Red178
204667.6
944620.6
177878.9
Blue164
593737.5
491138.0
903637.7
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18410750150200250178164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+26Teleop
+14Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave9
6Coral scored#1
31Coral points4
34Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +5
22Coral scored#29
78Coral points103
7Processor algae#2
5Net algae#5
42Processor points12
20Net points20
62Algae points32
140Total teleop135
Reef
12L4#13
5L3#7
7L2#7
4L1 · trough#3
40Game pieces#37
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +14
0Foul points0
178Total score164

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.90.3
78.778.9
Auto19.1
Teleop58.3
End1.4
red by 41.0
4911
#16
38.01.2
36.738.0
Auto4.2
Teleop30.8
End3.0
Second
67.60.3
67.467.6
Auto14.8
Teleop47.1
End5.7
red by 29.9
9036
#15
37.71.2
36.537.7
Auto5.1
Teleop31.7
End1.0
Third
9446
#30
20.60.3
20.320.6
Auto3.6
Teleop14.4
End2.6
blue by 16.9
5937
#12
37.51.2
36.337.5
Auto3.5
Teleop28.6
End5.4