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Red51
558817.2
830214.9
593737.5
Blue120
94843.6
803232.9
290330.4
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6195020408012014016051120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+55
Endgame+55
Fouls+69
Autonomouslevel
0Leave3
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points6
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +55
6Coral scored#13
22Coral points47
0Processor algae#3
1Net algae#4
0Processor points18
4Net points16
4Algae points34
26Total teleop81
Reef
2L4#5
3L3#4
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#21
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +69
0Foul points14
51Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5937
#12
37.50.7
24.023.4
Auto3.5
Teleop28.6
End5.4
blue by 6.1
948
#9
43.61.5
43.044.5
Auto7.1
Teleop29.3
End7.2
Second
5588
#24
17.20.7
13.813.2
Auto7.6
Teleop7.3
End2.2
blue by 15.7
8032
#22
32.91.5
19.120.5
Auto6.4
Teleop18.8
End7.7
Third
8302
#18
14.91.1
23.122.0
Auto4.2
Teleop8.0
End2.8
blue by 15.5
2903
#27
30.41.5
21.823.3
Auto4.1
Teleop19.9
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsMissed64%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsEarned97%Barge oddsEarned