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Red127
177878.9
83039.2
321843.4
Blue92
746125.2
408939.9
944620.6
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1476205010020012792

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+43Teleop
+47Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
0Leave3
7Coral scored#1
34Coral points6
34Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +18
18Coral scored#13
63Coral points47
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
12Processor points6
12Net points16
24Algae points22
87Total teleop69
Reef
12L4#6
7L3#4
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
30Game pieces#19
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +35
0Foul points12
127Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.90.4
68.768.3
Auto19.1
Teleop58.3
End1.4
red by 39.0
39.90.7
29.830.5
Auto8.4
Teleop29.1
End2.4
Second
3218
#10
43.40.4
40.540.1
Auto12.1
Teleop29.8
End1.6
red by 18.2
25.20.7
17.117.8
Auto5.4
Teleop18.1
End1.6
Third
8303
#32
9.20.6
17.416.8
Auto2.9
Teleop5.5
End0.7
blue by 11.4
9446
#30
20.60.7
17.618.3
Auto3.6
Teleop14.4
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsMissed70%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
23%Coral oddsEarned8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed28%Barge oddsEarned