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Red40
290623.7
326817.6
457917.3
Blue64
889616.4
594123.8
491138.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions546101001502004064

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+32
Endgame+36
Fouls+24
Autonomouslevel
6Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +32
4Coral scored#12
14Coral points42
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
6Processor points6
0Net points4
6Algae points10
20Total teleop52
Reef
1L4#4
1L3#5
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
5Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +24
12Foul points0
40Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2906
#29
23.71.5
21.119.6
Auto4.6
Teleop18.0
End1.1
blue by 14.3
4911
#16
38.00.5
29.630.1
Auto4.2
Teleop30.8
End3.0
Second
3268
#33
17.61.5
11.09.6
Auto6.9
Teleop10.9
End-0.2
blue by 6.1
5941
#19
23.80.5
17.117.5
Auto8.2
Teleop12.3
End3.3
Third
4579
#34
17.32.5
18.215.7
Auto1.6
Teleop14.7
End1.0
red by 0.9
8896
#28
16.40.8
10.411.2
Auto2.8
Teleop12.0
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsMissed52%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
10%Barge oddsMissed28%Barge oddsMissed