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Red67
290330.4
292718.1
1045524.4
Blue69
451238.4
339316.1
297622.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions605602040801001206769

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+20
Endgame+8
Fouls+2
Autonomouslevel
0Leave3
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points6
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +20
7Coral scored#12
26Coral points42
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
36Total teleop56
Reef
3L4#6
3L3#4
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#16
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
6Foul points0
67Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2903
#27
30.40.4
21.421.8
Auto4.1
Teleop19.9
End6.4
blue by 8.0
38.41.1
20.822.0
Auto8.4
Teleop28.4
End1.6
Second
24.40.4
16.016.4
Auto4.5
Teleop17.2
End2.8
red by 2.3
2976
#23
22.11.1
18.119.2
Auto6.4
Teleop14.1
End1.6
Third
2927
#26
18.10.4
18.218.6
Auto3.8
Teleop11.0
End3.4
red by 2.0
3393
#21
16.11.1
13.214.3
Auto2.0
Teleop12.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
33%Auto oddsMissed38%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
72%Barge oddsEarned22%Barge oddsMissed