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Red155
451238.4
177878.9
326817.6
Blue58
292916.0
457917.3
94843.6
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1167920406010014016018015558

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+89Teleop
+91Endgame
+97Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave3
6Coral scored#1
30Coral points6
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +68
24Coral scored#9
87Coral points31
3Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
18Processor points6
8Net points8
26Algae points14
113Total teleop45
Reef
10L4#3
9L3#3
7L2#3
4L1 · trough#1
35Game pieces#13
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +97
6Foul points0
155Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.92.9
71.374.2
Auto19.1
Teleop58.3
End1.4
red by 35.3
948
#9
43.61.4
44.543.1
Auto7.1
Teleop29.3
End7.2
Second
38.42.9
23.926.9
Auto8.4
Teleop28.4
End1.6
red by 21.2
4579
#34
17.32.3
13.711.4
Auto1.6
Teleop14.7
End1.0
Third
3268
#33
17.62.9
9.812.8
Auto6.9
Teleop10.9
End-0.2
red by 1.7
2929
#13
16.01.4
20.318.9
Auto4.2
Teleop10.2
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned53%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
25%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed43%Barge oddsMissed