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Red169
803232.9
252257.2
408939.9
Blue153
204667.6
297622.1
558817.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107946080100120140160169153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+16Teleop
+14Endgame
+16Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave9
6Coral scored#6
31Coral points28
37Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +16
22Coral scored#19
78Coral points68
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#5
18Processor points12
20Net points20
38Algae points32
116Total teleop100
Reef
12L4#12
8L3#6
3L2#3
5L1 · trough#4
36Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +16
2Foul points0
169Total score153

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.24.5
45.950.5
Auto17.2
Teleop38.2
End1.7
blue by 10.5
67.63.9
58.262.1
Auto14.8
Teleop47.1
End5.7
Second
39.94.5
32.136.6
Auto8.4
Teleop29.1
End2.4
red by 17.8
2976
#23
22.13.9
20.824.7
Auto6.4
Teleop14.1
End1.6
Third
8032
#22
32.94.5
21.025.5
Auto6.4
Teleop18.8
End7.7
red by 15.7
5588
#24
17.23.9
13.217.0
Auto7.6
Teleop7.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
24%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
57%Barge oddsEarned28%Barge oddsEarned