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Red104
297622.1
1007938.7
593737.5
Blue34
94914.5
558817.2
889616.4
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions973405015010434

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+64Teleop
+62Endgame
+70Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave0
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points12
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +60
13Coral scored#3
48Coral points12
2Processor algae#0
4Net algae#1
12Processor points0
16Net points4
28Algae points4
76Total teleop16
Reef
5L4#2
3L3#1
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#6
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +70
8Foul points0
104Total score34

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.70.9
30.531.4
Auto13.6
Teleop23.9
End1.1
red by 21.5
5588
#24
17.20.4
17.016.7
Auto7.6
Teleop7.3
End2.2
Second
5937
#12
37.50.9
27.028.0
Auto3.5
Teleop28.6
End5.4
red by 21.1
8896
#28
16.40.6
13.713.1
Auto2.8
Teleop12.0
End1.6
Third
2976
#23
22.10.9
24.725.6
Auto6.4
Teleop14.1
End1.6
red by 7.7
949
#25
14.50.4
8.78.3
Auto3.3
Teleop9.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned38%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsMissed