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Red83
326817.6
198324.0
446952.7
Blue138
451238.4
594123.8
204667.6
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions881215010015020083138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+45
Endgame+55
Fouls+55
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave0
3Coral scored#7
14Coral points37
23Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +31
11Coral scored#15
40Coral points53
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#5
6Processor points12
8Net points20
14Algae points32
54Total teleop85
Reef
4L4#5
5L3#8
3L2#7
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +55
0Foul points0
83Total score138

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.70.2
50.650.4
Auto13.5
Teleop37.1
End2.1
blue by 14.9
67.61.7
62.163.8
Auto14.8
Teleop47.1
End5.7
Second
1983
#31
24.00.2
22.922.7
Auto6.1
Teleop17.3
End0.6
blue by 14.4
38.41.7
26.928.6
Auto8.4
Teleop28.4
End1.6
Third
3268
#33
17.60.2
12.812.6
Auto6.9
Teleop10.9
End-0.2
blue by 6.1
5941
#19
23.81.7
22.824.6
Auto8.2
Teleop12.3
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsEarned