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Red74
408939.9
830214.9
339316.1
Blue113
292718.1
290623.7
177878.9
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6513005010015020074113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+27
Endgame+27
Fouls+39
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave3
3Coral scored#4
16Coral points20
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +20
7Coral scored#14
24Coral points50
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#3
6Processor points0
12Net points12
18Algae points12
42Total teleop62
Reef
5L4#5
3L3#5
1L2#5
1L1 · trough#3
14Game pieces#21
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +39
12Foul points24
74Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.90.6
36.636.0
Auto8.4
Teleop29.1
End2.4
blue by 39.0
78.91.7
74.272.5
Auto19.1
Teleop58.3
End1.4
Second
3393
#21
16.10.6
12.011.4
Auto2.0
Teleop12.1
End2.0
blue by 7.5
2906
#29
23.71.7
23.321.5
Auto4.6
Teleop18.0
End1.1
Third
8302
#18
14.91.0
22.521.5
Auto4.2
Teleop8.0
End2.8
blue by 3.2
2927
#26
18.11.7
17.315.6
Auto3.8
Teleop11.0
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsEarned66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed40%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsEarned22%Barge oddsMissed