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Red106
326817.6
290330.4
491138.0
Blue82
944620.6
94843.6
297622.1
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6710205015010682

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+24Teleop
+24Endgame
+24Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +24
20Coral scored#10
73Coral points35
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
87Total teleop63
Reef
6L4#5
8L3#3
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#17
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +24
6Foul points6
106Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4911
#16
38.02.1
27.930.0
Auto4.2
Teleop30.8
End3.0
blue by 5.6
948
#9
43.60.9
45.344.4
Auto7.1
Teleop29.3
End7.2
Second
2903
#27
30.42.1
27.429.5
Auto4.1
Teleop19.9
End6.4
red by 8.3
2976
#23
22.10.9
25.624.7
Auto6.4
Teleop14.1
End1.6
Third
3268
#33
17.62.1
12.614.7
Auto6.9
Teleop10.9
End-0.2
blue by 2.9
9446
#30
20.60.9
18.517.6
Auto3.6
Teleop14.4
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
24%Auto oddsMissed55%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed63%Barge oddsMissed