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Red97
292916.0
468236.3
944620.6
Blue93
491138.0
593737.5
408939.9
15%Model gave it85%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions631060501502009793

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+12Teleop
0Endgame0
+4Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave0
5Coral scored#3
23Coral points16
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +5
14Coral scored#11
50Coral points39
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#4
6Processor points0
4Net points16
10Algae points16
60Total teleop55
Reef
6L4#3
7L3#6
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
10Foul points6
97Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.31.3
27.428.8
Auto8.5
Teleop26.0
End1.7
blue by 3.6
39.90.7
36.035.3
Auto8.4
Teleop29.1
End2.4
Second
9446
#30
20.61.3
17.619.0
Auto3.6
Teleop14.4
End2.6
blue by 17.4
4911
#16
38.00.7
30.029.4
Auto4.2
Teleop30.8
End3.0
Third
2929
#13
16.01.3
19.120.5
Auto4.2
Teleop10.2
End1.6
blue by 21.5
5937
#12
37.50.7
28.027.3
Auto3.5
Teleop28.6
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsEarned35%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed23%Barge oddsEarned